Election Prediction

[fender62]

tory landslide, hung parliament.. i think the torys will win a majority buy a whisker, your thoughts?

[fender62]

wel i hope the torys win..just, why.. i do not like any of the partys
neither do anything for the common man, all we have sen is prices go up for everything, nothing goes down..but did it ever..give with one hand and take with the other, gas electric etc, all i see is a big con
played out and let it do it's thing by either party, makes one wonder id they have big shares in the companies, or very good friends withing said,

[Khandro]

But there's less than 3million people voting so it's all a bit undemocratic whatever happens.

[Islay]

I think Tories will win with a very thin majority and they certainly won't get the gains May hoped for.
This will be because a lot of youngsters voting for the first time will vote labour as they have promised no fees for uni!

[Hopkirk]

A big lesson for these young ones to learn then!

[Jackdaw33]

Although very unhappy with the way May has conducted this campaign I still forecast a comfortable majority, probably around the 60 mark. I can't see Labour gaining many seats apart from in Scotland, which doesn't count as they will just be replacing the SNP, and London.

[DTCwordfan]

Tory majority 100-110, 6-1

2.5 to 3 million votes from UKIP have to go somewhere. Tale out 1/2 a mill for Labour and you are left with 3000 average per seat....then look at the marginals with 3000 swings - and bye bye the Libs too.

[Jackdaw33]

The Libs are predicted to have only 3 seats. That would be their worst ever, even worse than in the days of Grimond and Thorpe.

[DTCwordfan]

I've just done a count and, as of the last election, there are 97 non-conservative seats with majorities less than 6000.......

[Hopkirk]

How many will the SNP get?

[DTCwordfan]

Barbie Eyebrows Farron is well within the range of being sunk....the great thing in South Westmorland is that an Ind candidate called Mr Fishfinger is standing against him. Wonder if he is wearing a cod-piece on the night?

[Jackdaw33]

I expect the SNP to lose ground. Labour should recover enough to take back seats in the Glasgow/Edinburgh areas. Also the Tories are looking to take seats further north.

[DTCwordfan]

agree on that, jackdaw....would be interesting to see if Labour make inroads in Glasgow and may be one Edinburgh seat...Scotland for the Tories, gains in Dumfries, Berwick, Buchan, Aberdeenshire West, may be East Fife and a couple of Edinburg seats.

[Jackdaw33]

Berwick is in England and is already Tory-held.

[DTCwordfan]

pedant there...

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

[Jackdaw33]

The seat you mention was rock-solid Tory until a certain very young David Steel captured it for the Libs in a by-election in 1965.

[DTCwordfan]

Is he still alive....

On the other hand, Farron's seat (my old one) had a Thatch Minister of Agriculture in Michael Jopling.....that's thought to be in range of a blue flag this time.

[Jackdaw33]

I wouldn't be at all surprised if both Farron and Clegg were to lose their seats.

[EDDIE51]

I know it's not likely but what would happen if the Prime Minister was to lose her seat in the election? Has it ever happened?

[jourdain2]

I'll be interested in the Selkirk result because I was up in that area the other week and spotted about equal nos. of posters.