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Cameron on track to lose the General Election

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Gromit | 13:32 Mon 01st Mar 2010 | News
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He needs the biggest swing in voters since the 1930s, but it looks like he won't get it.

http://www.dailyrecor...ction-86908-22077895/

Are you ready for an historic fourth term for Labour?
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Gromit...well it is on the cards.
October 2009 Conservative 20 points ahead, today 2 points ahead.

What has gone wrong?
It's a Ugov poll which was taken last week. Early edition of Sunday paper put Tory lead at 6%. Over a two hour period Ugov changed their results to 2%. Strange eh?
Better the devil you know!

I don't usually vote but this year will definitely be doing so to try and stop the Conservatives getting in.
increase in immigrants shows in votes
Can you see Labour getting a 10 point lead in the next couple of months?

Cameron failing to secure a majority doesn't mean that Labour will either

We are in serious hung parliament territory which rather begs the question - where's Clegg?

Right now he should be on every news bulletin - whoever is responsible for his PR needs a good shake - they'll never get a better opportunity than this!
>great!

Are you an unemployed muslim asylum seeker with 3 wives and 7 kids.

If so it probably is good for you if labour get in.

(Like the muslim single mum in London who is being paid £7,000 a MONTH rent by her local council), see below

http://www.express.co...0-000-a-year-benefits
^^ I have to wonder what the Conservatives would do about that? Anyone know?
Its just as unlikely Brown will get in.

Unfortunatley we will probably end up with a hung parliament, and that will do none of us any good.

As for whats gone wrong, perhpas the Tories have decided the books will be just too bad when they open them. This next term is not going to be pleasant for either party.

Even if Labour pull it off dont imaging it will be like the last few years. We are in for a period of austerity plus the market may not trust Brown (far more important than voters) in which case we end up worse off.
oh, yes, ymb's explanation is the most persuasive: the Tories have suddenly decided they want to lose the election. They've had practice, after all.

Bad news for their deputy chairman, who was actually planning to move to Britain if they won...

http://news.bbc.co.uk..._politics/8542744.stm

Can't say another term of Brown fills me with joy, but a hung parliament looks likelier. (Actually, I think the Tories will squeak in.)
Many believe the upshoot in Labour's fortunes is because Britain has emerged from recession. But this could easily be eroded if the next figures show a double dip. If these are published just before the next election there could be a dramatic shift.

I bet there is a lot of soul searching in Labour HQ whether to have the election before these figures come out. The favourdate date before was May 5th.
Forget the recession...forget everything...

Why on EARTH aren't the Tories in double figures ahead of Labour???

This makes no sense at all.

Gordon Brown is hugely unpopular, and if we are to believe the papers, he presides over a government which is solely responsible for immigration problems, chavscum Britain, old age pensioners freezing to death, the recession, bailing out greedy bankers etc etc...

So Cameron's boys and girls should be floating about on a 15 point lead.

Why aren't they?

Doesn't make a lick fo sense to me.
tamborine

Not necessarily so...if you consider the numbr of immigrants who are self-starting business owners. There's no guarantee that immigrants will vote Labour in the same way that you cannot now guarantee that those living in the inner cities will vote Labour.

That's old-style politics...from the 70s.
sp1814 Perhaps we remember the 3 day Week ? Or the Poll tax Fiasco ? Or Fat Tories and Starving Kids ?
sp1814....I agree.

My theories? the Tories have not shown any policies for the electorate to look at, except of cause for the child benefits that they u-turned on and made a "b@lls up"

Economy? do we start paying back now, the Tories say yes and the electorate are not so sure as this means financial reduction for various areas leading to job losses.
I wouldn't like to make that decision.

Cameron and Osborne look too young for the job......they may not be, but that is how they come over on the media.

I have always accepted the "noses in the trough " concept of the Tories, but believe me Labour has shown them a thing or two.

Interesting election.
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sp1814, I wonder if the picture of the Tories as the Eton and big business party is starting to count against them. They seem quite keen on doing something about inheritance tax, which jno jnr (contemplating the international property empire coming his way) seems to think is a jolly good idea but holds no interest at all for me. Their party leader may consider living in Britain IF he can get into the Lords. Nobody thinks they'd do anything more about fatcat bankers than Brown has done; and Osborne hasn't exactly laid down any markers as the man who could drag Britain out of recession (Vince Cable's done far better).

My feeling is that Labour will continue their slow implosion, people will dump the LibDems (as they always do when regime change is in prospect) and the Tories will get home with a very small, possibly unsustainable margin. But who knows.
I think some of it's to do with Osborne as a potential chancellor in difficult times. He's so obviously a lightweight and out of his depth people are worried by that and it calls into question Camerons judgement as well.

Add to that the usual 'Devil you know' cold feet mentality that sets in as an election looms. It's like , 'Ok so Brown's an obnoxious scheming megalomaniac, but he's a strong obnoxious scheming megalomaniac, and we need that kind of strength and obnoxiousness to guide us through these hard times - after all he he got us into this mess, it stands to reason he's probably best placed to get us out of it again'.
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Eddie, I think it works the other way around - when the economy is bad people don't vote for change, they just want to hunker down put on a tin hat and ride out the storm without risking anything worse by swapping horses in mid stream as it were.

When times are good and there's a feeling of optimism that's when people feel confident enough to risk a change - e.g just after ww2 or 1997 even. So the current state of the economy is working for Labour not against them.

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