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Can't See There Being A General Election Called

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lankeela | 11:27 Thu 20th Oct 2022 | News
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and even if there were, surely the vast majority of voters would still vote for their preferred constituency MP and not for the 'other party' just because of the chaos in Westminster. I would not change allegiance to the party I support - and I doubt many others would either. Its like asking people to swap their allegiance to a football club!
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I never vote for my constituency MP. I vote for the party.
is there any guarantee that the government would survive a motion of no confidence? i could have sworn there were rumours of one being tabled but nothing seems to have come of it
Opinion polls suggest that very many would change their voting allegiance from 2019.

There will not be a General Election while the party in power have a 76 seat majority.

The Conservatives have 20 months to turn things around.
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But how many are polled compared to how many actually vote in a general election? I suspect a lot of people are sitting back and watching bemused at all the goings on but when push comes to shove they won't want the other lot getting a foot in the door.
Thatcher got a landslide in 1979, and Blair got a landslide in 1997. The voting public continually change their vote when it suits them. If a Government is performing badly, the voters will punish them at the ballot box. That is nothing new.
Football is a religion, Lanky, with devotees so dedicated they attend every week (sometimes twice) home and away, come rain or shine. They will take a half day off work to travel hundreds of miles to watch 'their' team, then work overtime to make up their pay packets. In my most humble of opinions, being a fan of any football team simply cannot be compared to a lifetime of voting for the same political party once every 3/4/5 years or so.
untitled: "is there any guarantee that the government would survive a motion of no confidence? i could have sworn there were rumours of one being tabled but nothing seems to have come of it " - that would require a lot of turkeys to vote for xmas. This whole GE thing is lefty wet dream. The only way there'll be an election is if the PM calls one and I don't think that's likely regardless of who the PM is.
I think a GE would result in a hung parliament with much haggling about coalition partners. Would hate to end up with a Lab/SNP government. SK ruled that out but if it was his way into power....
As Naomi indicates, many (most?) people vote for parties, rather than for individual candidates. I suspect that if you asked people "Which party did you vote for at the last General Election?", most could easily remember which one it was. However if you asked people "What was the candidate's name?", the vast majority wouldn't have a clue. (I have to admit that I'm one of them!)

As you suggest though, Lankeela, there will be people who simply can't ever see themselves voting for "the other lot". Under such circumstances, history has shown that those who've become disaffected with the party in power tend to look for 'alternative' candidates (rather than to 'the opposition'), which would suggest that the LibDems and the Greens, for example, might fare particularly well in the next General Election.
Gromit 11:31, bang on.
Untitled,
There will not be a vote of no confidence because the Government have a 76 seat majority, so they would sure beat the motion. So no General Election.
I predict there’ll be a GE called within the next 3 months.
This is a diabolical government with a PM who has no mandate from the electorate, the next won’t have either.
The impending crises will only get worse and there is major industrial action imminent and they have no credible plan to deal with any of it, any they did have been U-turned on anyway.
The public mood will force a GE and the Tories will accede, leaving Labour to sort out the mess.
The Tory party will then need to elect a competent leader who can sustain unity whilst in opposition because there is no credible alternative atm who is neither tainted with the Johnson stain or deemed not to be a backstabber.
The whole party is fractured beyond repair, better they sort themselves out in opposition than continue what is plainly farcical and on the world stage too.
As already mentioned, a lot of voters, myself included, will probably switch their allegiance as and when the mood grabs them. I'll readily admit that over the years I've voted for Conservative, Labour, Lib Dems and UKIP.

Given the current opinion polls, I doubt very much there's going to be an election anytime soon.
It'll be like turkeys voting for Xmas, basting themselves in oil and turning the oven on !!!!
gizmonster: "Given the current opinion polls, I doubt very much there's going to be an election anytime soon.
It'll be like turkeys voting for Xmas, basting themselves in oil and turning the oven on !!!! " - Indeed, how anyone could think there'll be an early election beggars belief.
Still trying to find a website for barricades. Do you think it will be OK for me to wear my blazer and regimental tie?
The Con Party have not got the Guts to call a G.E , They know they would get slaughtered at the moment ,or even in the near future.
Bang on gulliver they would lose which why there won't be an election. Now tell your buddies, you at least seem to have grasped the obvious.
'surely the vast majority of voters would still vote for their preferred constituency MP and not for the 'other party' just because of the chaos in Westminster'

I'm afraid you give the general populace too much credit, lankeela. We're a bit insular here on AB as there are a lot of the members who are politically knowledgeable. The vast majority of the Gen public see politics in black and white and are led by the frontal lobes by the tabloids / websites they read.
The idea that most people vote for their constituency MP and take no account of anyone or anything else is complete bunkum, in all but maybe the most special of cases.
I suspect most voters don't know who their constituency MP is.
Lol, ToraToraTora loves Gulliver! PMSL

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