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Are Sanctions Failing Or Worse Still, Helping Putin ?

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Gromit | 09:54 Sat 30th Jul 2022 | News
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There is evidence that sanctions are having no effect on Russia.

The collspse of the Rouble was widely predicted and expected. In reality the Rouble is the best performing currency in 2022 and rising and stronger than ever.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/jul/29/putin-ruble-west-sanctions-russia-europe
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Sanctions advocate/activist finds evidence that sanctions work. In other shock news. There's no evidence they work, or exist, in Saudi Arabia or China.
08:26 Tue 02nd Aug 2022
ToraToraTora
//The dependency of gas etc of the west is only temporary. Once the west has moved off that dependency Russia will have only a few customers and no leverage.//

The problem is that it’s not going to happen overnight, it’ll be 3-5 years at least before the west sorts out such issues.
The Ruble as to foreign exchange rates against the $/£ whatever has only been kept propped up by Putain's gold reserves - these the White House reckon have been depleted by 80 percent since they barged into Ukraine.

https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/russias-gold-reserves-buy-putin-few-options-2022-03-28/#:~:text=%2D%20A%20senior%20White%20House%20official,invasion%20of%20Ukraine%20on%20Feb.ince.....
good to know Sunak would meet the challenge by continuing the ban on new onshore wind farms
https://www.energymonitor.ai/policy/how-can-the-eu-end-its-dependence-on-russian-gas

/In sum, by the most conservative estimates, the EU should be able to reduce its reliance on Russian gas by at least one-third by the end of 2022. The Commission has the most ambitious scenario, with the biggest reduction in the shortest amount of time. The other scenarios appear to concur that while a two-thirds reduction of Russian gas by the end of 2022 might be too ambitious, at least a two-thirds reduction by 2025 should be attainable./

Getting completely free of reliance in some part to Russia will prove difficult to say the least.

fatti: "The problem is that it’s not going to happen overnight, it’ll be 3-5 years at least before the west sorts out such issues. " - quite possibly but it will happen. Remember when COVID started they said it would take at least 5 years to develop and test a vaccine? They did it in little over 1 year. All the nations effected will be moving heaven and earth to get out of this dependency as quick as possible, it may take 3-5 years but I think it will be done much quicker. Needs must etc.
And don't forget that Russia needs the money.
They can't keep relying on the price going up every time.

Latvia has just been cut off.
If things get really bad then rationing of some form will have to be applied, in the meantime it isn't a bad idea for everyone to economise of their usage, but I don't hear much calls for that from privatised industries whose shareholders are receiving record profits, see Shell for example.
I'm using the car as little as possible, turning off lights etc. & washing & shaving in the mornings with cold water. No great hardship, :0)
It is a desperate face off between the Ruble and the Euro that will decide the future of millions of Europeans for the next generation. The Euro looks like it is winning the race to hit the wall right now, and that is not Putin's fault. He only put it in turbo.
ToraToraTora
//fatti: "The problem is that it’s not going to happen overnight, it’ll be 3-5 years at least before the west sorts out such issues. " - quite possibly but it will happen. Remember when COVID started they said it would take at least 5 years to develop and test a vaccine? They did it in little over 1 year. All the nations effected will be moving heaven and earth to get out of this dependency as quick as possible, it may take 3-5 years but I think it will be done much quicker. Needs must etc.//

The race for the vaccine is a poor example to use, we had the greatest scientific and medical minds across the globe doing that, with unlimited resources and finances.
Europe but the UK especially will never build and complete enough nuclear power stations within the timeframe required, they will invariably be massively overdue and way over budget by the time they’re completed.
Get digging again, (& fracking)

"This island is made mainly of coal and surrounded by fish. Only an organizing genius could produce a shortage of coal and fish at the same time.“ — Aneurin Bevan

They've back-fired spectacularly. That's why many in the West are now looking for an off-ramp.
The big Ukrainian counter-attack is either underway or imminent.
Hopefully, one way or another, that will put an end to this madness.
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Europe is currently swapping suppliers and getting large amounts of LNG from Qatar instead of Russia. Tankers are less efficient than pipelines, and storage is a problem, but this is happening now (hence Shell et al are making vast profits).
fatti: "Europe but the UK especially will never build and complete enough nuclear power stations within the timeframe " - who's talking about Nuclear power stations? This is about finding alternative suppliers for fossil fuels.
//It is being redirected to China, who are buying as much as gas Russia can supply.//

Where are they storing it?
Question Author
// Where are they storing it? //

I assume China are using it not storing it.
Gas isn't like that
The gas to China is nothing compared to the dark transfer of Russian crude oil out at sea. The Chinese are buying Russian crude in a secret operation that will eventually pollute the Atlantic and the coast of Portugal.

""An anonymous entity based in the Chinese port city of Dalian has bought up a string of super-sized VLCC carriers to create a “transfer hub” in international waters around 860 nautical miles off Portugal’s coast, analysts say.

According to a report by Lloyd’s List, the maritime intelligence company, at least five “elderly” tankers had been bought by the Dalian firm in the past three months, and are now being used to transport oil.

They are allegedly being used to consolidate shipments of Russian oil loaded at Baltic and Black Sea ports, which are then being taken on destinations including China.

China has become a major importer of Russian oil since the West imposed sanctions in response to the war in Ukraine.""

https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/news/article/ar-AA105b3e

https://www.express.co.uk/news/science/1647720/xi-jinping-vladimir-putin-energy-lifeline-china-ships-secret-dark-tankers-russian-oil
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Thanks for the links Togo.

// China's demand for Russian energy products has increased in recent months - reaching a record-high of crude oil in May, increasing purchases to $7.47billion (£6billion), which is about $1billion (£800million) more than in April and double the amount a year ago.

The increase in imports means Russia has now overtaken Saudi Arabia as China's largest source of crude oil, according to Chinese customs data released on Friday. //

Doesn’t sound like Russia is going bust.
ToraToraTora
//fatti: "Europe but the UK especially will never build and complete enough nuclear power stations within the timeframe " - who's talking about Nuclear power stations?//

Err……we are?

https://www.energylivenews.com/2021/10/11/government-urged-to-replace-reliance-on-russian-gas-with-homegrown-nuclear/

https://world-nuclear-news.org/Articles/UK-government-fund-to-accelerate-nuclear-fuel-supp

https://www.grantfinder.co.uk/government-announces-fund-to-accelerate-nuclear-fuel-supply/




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