Fao Naomi

[spathiphyllum]

[fiction-factory]

I don't see anything new here, spath

[spathiphyllum]

Operation Yellowhammer

[dannyk13]

Old news Spath.

[spathiphyllum]

No it's not.

[spathiphyllum]

The Government has released its assessment of what could happen if the UK leaves the EU without a Deal. That happened in the last couple of days.

[spathiphyllum]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-49670123

[spathiphyllum]

Anyway.. fact is... I said all this was a possibility. Naomi branded me as scaremongering. Facts are facts though, and I said there would be visible consequence.

All this "There will be no difference" crap. Then what's the point ay? LOL.

[aelmpvw]

i see food prices creeping up on a weekly basis, no change there then

[Zacs-Master]

"reasonable worst case assumptions" are not facts.

[ichkeria]

The real point of the No Deal is being missed in all this: short term crises such as those outlined can be for over.
It’s the long term damage to the economy, to the Union, and the huge disadvantage facing the UK in trade negotiations with the EU that IMO are more serious.

[ichkeria]

Can be “got” over

[spathiphyllum]

""reasonable worst case assumptions" are not facts."

Where did I say they were?

[fiction-factory]

Alongside the 'worst case' assumptions have probabilities been assigned and have the 'best case' assumptions also been set out? If so, the true outcome should lie somewhere between the two

[spathiphyllum]

FF we are well and truely beyond "Best case" considering we've failed to hit the deadline numerous times. Now where is our gov and what are they doing?

Best case is we simply get a brexit that's it.

[Zacs-Master]

You wrote 'Facts are facts though'

There are no facts at present. Only speculation and assumptions.

[spathiphyllum]

Zacs what was "fact" was what I said, then what Naomi said.

"I said all this was a possibility"

[spathiphyllum]

As you said.. they are "reasonable worst case assumptions" so they certainly are high possibilities.

[Zacs-Master]

Ah, so the fact is that you said it was a possibility. Ok.

[fiction-factory]

I think you've missed my point. If no deal is a possible outcome it's right to do some analysis and planning for it. But just because something is listed as possible under a 'worst case 'scenario doesn't mean it will happen. To assess the No Deal option fully you should look at best case and worst case, assigning probabilities, and the actual outcome will probably lie somewhere in the middle.

It seems less important now though than the issue of having to apply for an extension. And if no-one can come up with a deal that is acceptable (and no-one has in 3 years) then we either have to extend indefinitely (or keep negotiating for years if necessary), withdraw article 50 and stay, or leave with no deal

[spathiphyllum]

And Naomis thoughts and position on my thoughts for a post brexit UK.