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Stealing Money (?) - 7
England's opening game in the 2022 World Cup is against Iran. We are ranked 5th in the world, Iran 20th. The two sides have never met and it has to be said that Iran's preparation, in terms of actual results, appears to be better than England's - our winless run stretches back to March with 3 defeats and 3 draws, scoring just 4 goals (3 of those in the 3-3 draw with Germany). However, when compared, the level of opposition England have faced is higher than that Iran have faced.
Despite the poor form, the heat and the weight of expectation, i expect us to win our opener. So why the question mark? Well, the poor form, the heat and the weight of expectation :-)
We are around the 1/3 mark to win but Willy Hill are offering EVENS to a max stake of £10. The reason i am putting this up now (the game isn't played until Monday) is because i don't know when the offer will be withdrawn.
Despite the poor form, the heat and the weight of expectation, i expect us to win our opener. So why the question mark? Well, the poor form, the heat and the weight of expectation :-)
We are around the 1/3 mark to win but Willy Hill are offering EVENS to a max stake of £10. The reason i am putting this up now (the game isn't played until Monday) is because i don't know when the offer will be withdrawn.
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A couple of folk had staked £10 with William Hill at odds of 200-1 and another had £9 with the same odds but cashed out early for £14.
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ZEBU, looking at the figures from this website,
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if you had bet on all the horses in flat races with odds of 1/3 running in the UK from 1.1.12 to 19.11.22, you'd have been 8.8% down.
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if you had bet on all the horses in flat races with odds of 1/3 running in the UK from 1.1.12 to 19.11.22, you'd have been 8.8% down.
Corby >01.22
Notwithstanding those small independent turf accountants that have gone bust over the years, the stats certainly bolster the old adage... 'The bookie always wins'.
There is certainly no arguing with the data!
Examining Ken's betting strategy not to back 'odds on', would be not have had better returns, than say placing bets at 20/1 ?
Had a gambler backed all of those horses that ran on the flat at 20/1 over the same period, then would it be correct to assume the punter would be more than 8.8% down?
Notwithstanding those small independent turf accountants that have gone bust over the years, the stats certainly bolster the old adage... 'The bookie always wins'.
There is certainly no arguing with the data!
Examining Ken's betting strategy not to back 'odds on', would be not have had better returns, than say placing bets at 20/1 ?
Had a gambler backed all of those horses that ran on the flat at 20/1 over the same period, then would it be correct to assume the punter would be more than 8.8% down?
Zebu, i am a 'fun' punter; small stakes, often multiple bets, and drawn to large field handicaps where the chances of choosing the winner are much less, true, but the satisfaction much sweeter when i do. Plus the bigger the field, often the bigger the price. Backing odds-on is for those who rock up at racecourses with satchels full of readies, imho :-)
And, as i proved on Sunday, if your first 3 selections of a multiple win, the 'cash-out' offer is sometimes well worth considering. In my case, £500.48 for a £5 stake.
Put money in a savings account and, economic crashes notwithstanding, you are guaranteed a return. Not so with gambling. I've seen horses turned over at 1/14.
And, as i proved on Sunday, if your first 3 selections of a multiple win, the 'cash-out' offer is sometimes well worth considering. In my case, £500.48 for a £5 stake.
Put money in a savings account and, economic crashes notwithstanding, you are guaranteed a return. Not so with gambling. I've seen horses turned over at 1/14.
