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teacake44 | 11:36 Sun 12th Apr 2020 | ChatterBank
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Without shouting down, disagreeing or argument. Give your opinion, prediction or thoughts of what may happen in the next 2/3 months regarding the present situation. This is not to be a post of who is right or wrong, just everyone's view of what might happen.
I would predict that they will in the next month, open schools on a part time basis, if only to ease pressure at home and give parents a break, may be 2/3 days a week.
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Stay as is until the curve shows a significant downward trend, then as said by others a lifting of some restrictions to both keep the economy alive and to make sure manageable numbers of younger fitter people become ill. I would see garden centres, and nurseries reopening fairly early with restricted access. Also senior schools with split classes say half...
12:51 Sun 12th Apr 2020
I’m not really sure, no one is, even our Government, I know it’s a 12 week here regardless of what transpires
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You don't have to be right Bobbs, or wrong. :0)
I know many people not intending to send children back to school until September at least. Local college still planning on teaching online for the next term.
I think restrictions will be lifted, except for the most vulnerable, to allow people to catch it and for the NHS to cope. But I think it will be many months before we get back to any kind of real "normality".
I don't know. I don't think anyone does.
Okay, I predict it’ll be July before restrictions are semi lifted and I’m being optimistic and hoping for a hot summer
I'm not sure they will open schools early, how will they organise social distancing? I think the schools will remain shut and hopefully have a normal September opening.
My personal feeling is that things will remain as they are for another couple of months. There will then be a gradual return to what we recognise as "normal"
How long is a piece of string?!
Same answer as Naomi's, although was is more or less certain is that there's no way anything will change in terms of re-opening in April, and I'd still be pretty amazed if we saw much change in May either, sadly. 1,000 deaths a day for the next week or so, reducing to 500 or so by the end of April, and we'd have done well.
That, is scary.
It depends on whether deaths peak shortly and we can get close to 100000 tests a day and rollout antibody tests.
I estimate deaths will level off at around 1000 a day next week but will stay at close to that daily rate for the rest of April.
I think the SAGE review next week will confirm another 3 weeks.
By mid May I think they may announce some relaxation on things like which shops can open (maybe DIY, clothes, garden centres, small cafes) and may discuss reopening schools on a partial basis in mid June but it will be softly softly, step by step, with possible retightening if covid cases pick up again.
But the dangers of moving too fast are we might have to lock everything down again if Covid accelerates and that would kill the economy. I just hope Wuhan doesn't get a second wave in the next few weeks.
Things will improve but won't be fully back to normal in terms of totally free movement, holidays, pubs, full football grounds, concerts, until next Spring.
But I may be wrong. No-one knows.
I reckon another month of this, then we'll all be using a tracker app like this: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-52246319
The chinese have theirs now but the google/apple version will take account of civile liberties issues.
jim: "Same answer as Naomi's, " - nooo!
Despite the likelihood that the death toll in Wuhan is a wild underestimate, the lock-down there was much more stringent than ours could or will ever be, so that may well reduce the chances of a second wave. Time alone will tell.
I may have just broken Answerbank, lol :)
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TTT with respect, its not who's right or wrong, please stick to the post regarding disagreement :0)
I work in a large secondary school and have just seen the risk assessment for a return. 2 metres between each student are they guidelines, which is an impossibility to manage for a class size of 30 students. Then there is the problem of the playground and dining area.

A possibility, dependant on teacher availability, is to see the return of years 10 and 12 as they will be sitting exams in May 2021, so they really need to be in school.

But who knows. I for one want to return even if the students don’t.
A large factor is whether all those people (inc moi) who are furloughed get paid around the end of this month. I predict civil unrest if not. This will result in stricter lockdowns and potentially armed forces presence on the streets.
It cannot go on much longer. if it does then the economy will tank and then Convid deaths will be insignificant to the deaths and misery from abject poverty. On top f that there will be no NHS as no one will be able to pay for it.

I would like to see one or two weeks more then we start gradually getting back. Construction and some industry first together with schools.

Difficult choice but we need someone strong to make the call. Unfortunately that person is currently in hospital.
I predict this situation to continue as full lockdown during May and maybe mid June there will be some easing if the number of deaths in reducing.

Those businesses such as pubs, theatres, indoor attractions, hairdressers and restaurants will probably be the last to reopen, maybe September, but some shops and outdoor facilities could open in July/August with social distancing remaining in place.

But who knows, not me.

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