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One file is never going to perfectly overwrite another, because files are made up of a number of blocks, and unless the system has just been defragged, or it's a brand new system, those blocks will not be contiguous. Therefore, the only way to find out what you'll get if you attempt recovery, is to do the recovery and have a look at the result. Generally speaking, if a recovery program decides that it may not be able to recover a file, it's right, so the chance are you'll get neithet the letter of the jpg, but just a load of junk.
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