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Attention Sqad, Sp And Others...new Yougov Poll !

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mikey4444 | 09:42 Sun 25th May 2014 | News
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http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/vyi24hfu2j/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140523.pdf

Not much change but it is interesting to see that, despite all the hoo-ha about Farage over the last 3 days, UKIP still stands at 13%. An earthquake ...maybe just a little tremor !
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*** mikey.....I take my hat off to your wading through that load of..............data.
Still concentrating on the little guy whilst ignoring Labour's failure in opposition eh mikey?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-27553837

From the link:

There has been an "awful lot" of criticism of Ed Miliband, according to the BBC's political correspondent Alan Soady.

He said: "I think it is a wake-up call for some in the party leadership that UKIP can do a substantial amount of damage to their vote in their traditional heartlands.

"I think previously they had assumed that largely UKIP would do more damage to the Conservatives than Labour."
'Data'. I like it. Nicely put, sqad. ;o)
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Morning Sqad !

Not difficult really. I am merely pointing out that UKIP have been Polling around an average of 13% for months now. I would have thought that as Farage's face has been in the media continually for the last few days, and his Party made inroads into Tory and Conservative heartlands, this might have been reflected in YouGov's Poll, taken last Thursday and Friday.
and his Party made inroads into Tory and Conservative heartlands
----------------------
He really IS fighting them on all fronts! What a resourceful guy! LOL
Ow !! what a turn off !

Narty narty Sqad ! EXACTLTY my response - perhaps it is conditioning from a previous life.

if any one else is planning to torture readers in this way - then a must read is: The Visual Display of Quantitative Information by Edward R. Tufte (Feb 1992)
which tells you how not to do it .

what does the NatGov poll say by the way ?

I have met a number of people who voted for UKIP but admit that it was a one off and will not do so at the General Election.
.

s Mackenzie used to say on tel in the sixties:

it doesn't matter what you think - it's the swingometer that counts !

13% has been around for a few days - and when the notoriously fair minded Beeb were doing the polls on Thur., did anyone work out if they had adjusted projected MP seats for the voting ?

13% of the vote DOESNT mean 13% of the MPs seats

[as in low percentage parties you need more votes to gain a seat]
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whistonian...I too have met people that say that their UKIP vote on Thursday was a one-off. But do you think that the majority of UKIP voters will retreat back to the Tories and Labour next May ?
Thank you mikey4444

The numbers that I find myself curious about is the swing from Con to UKIP and the swing from Lab to UKIP.

Because if the swing has eaten into the Con vote, then it's possible that we are going to see Lab returned with a majority at the next GE.

And if that happens, it will be the complete opposite of what UKIP voters want.

It will be a complete nightmare/dream come true*







(*Delete as applicable)
Since the Crisis every country in Europe has seen the rise of the far right. The same thing happened in the 30's and look what happened then.
There is a long time between now and next May for things to change.However,if Ed Milliband is to become Prime Minister,god help us, then he must listen to the people who brief him and thus avoid clangers like his radio interview in Swindon.Also, apparently Mikey another poll shows that despite Labour having a lead people are still prefering David Cameron over Ed Milliband as Prime Minister
Have just seen Gromit's post above.

Fingers crossed that the UKIP vote holds up!
mikey droylsden has always been a big labour area look at the votes form the other night

droylsden west
ukip -971
toffs-235
bnp-106
green-149
labour-1584
barrie holland elected


droylsden east
toffs-250
labour-1431
ukip-1168
green-163
susan quinn elected

Question Author
Grumpy ...interesting point about Labour and Ed. Fortunately, Ed's name won't be on the ballot papers next May. It will say Labour. YouGov start off by asking what party you would vote for if there was an election tomorrow.
Its a standard opening question in any political Poll, and all Pollsters use the same question. People maybe less than happy with Ed, but they are still saying that they will vote Labour. All this is maybe a bit obvious but I thought I would explain it anyway !

Brionon...I agree...I have been warning of the rise of the Far Right across Europe for a long time now. There are regular reports in the press about the activities of Golden Dawn, in Greece for instance. This week in the Guardian, there was a worrying piece that said that Golden Dawn was ditching boots for suits ::

http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/may/23/golden-dawn-greece-european-election

We ignore this at our peril.
Whistonian I wouldn't be too sure about that, a lot of people are waiting to see how Farage & Co carries on before for voting Ukip in the next election.
Philip Hammond Con Mp,said on the news today that ,we will be giving the public a referendum on the EU after the general Election.
Think he is dreaming that the Cons have been elected,Shall i wake him up?
Thank god the election results are out of the way so we can get back to analysing the polls.
Still standing by that tremor remark, mikey?
You're absence this evening on the boards speaks volumes.....
So have you felt the tremor yet mikey?
Or are you still reeling from the aftershocks?
For a 'minor political party' I reckon UKIP did rather well, don't you?

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