If A Mp Crosses The Floor Of The House What Is...

[sandyRoe]

...their chance of retaining their seat?

[youngmafbog]

I think we have had this converstation before but she will keep her seat (wrongly IMHO) and then have to be up for selection against the current labour nominee.  Who knows what happens there.

As for a Conservative crossing to labour I think she can kiss goddbye to any of those votes she had. (Same would apply the other way round).  Might be different if crossed to the libs or Reform.

[tomus42]

It all depends whether it's a marginal seat.

I don't think they should be allowed to do it personally. They should resign, and then stand as candidate for the other party in the resulting by-election.

[naomi24]

^I've always thought that but it doesn't happen.  Whether she retains a seat at the next election could depend upon how marginal that seat is.  A Labour candidate would never succeed where I live.

[mushroom25]

Dover has been labour in the past, most recently in the Blair/Brown years from 1997.

whether she retains the seat may depend on how good a constituency MP she's perceived to have been. Ms Elphicke was elected to the seat in 2019 after the previous incumbent - her husband - was jailed for sexual misdemeanours. In 2021 she was censured for breaching the MPs code of coduct in that she attempted to influence senior judges in November 2020. in her husband's sentencing appeal after his conviction.

[THECORBYLOON]

Natalie Elphicke won't be standing at the next election.

[Old_Geezer]

Before or after the next GE ?

 

In the recent case, it's a mystery why someone would change horses unless it was a career move in the hope they were joining a party likely to be in power next time. After all, why go from one inadequate party to another, especially when explaining the reason they switched was that their original party hasn't achieved aims such as reducing the rate of illegal immigrants arriving, just to join a party that seems happy to have immigration and hasn't come up with any plan to prevent it. Seems utter madness.

[Old_Geezer]

It has just occurred to me. Maybe no other party was interested in having them.

[ichkeria]

I am sure Corby is right, and Labour in any case have already chosen their candidate for Dover. Nathalie Elphicke doesn't strike me as a career politician: she has probably done it as she feels she has nothing to lose

[Old_Geezer]

A conceivable explanation (besides madness) maybe.

?si=-OpMS_OCJJL9EsLD

 

[Spungle]

She wouldnt stand a chance of being re-elected but she's standing down at the election in any case, so Labour and the Tories will be putting up new candidates.  If you remember, she was only a shoe-in after her husband got caught up to tricks when he was MP.

[Peter Pedant]

she has ( a/c to this morning Radio 4) to be selected. I reckon post election, she will do something else - - early burnout

[davebro3]

Stupid voters for electing her in the first place IMV (and the Cons for accepting her as a candidate). Should never have been in parliament.