Can The Tories Win This Seat?

[ToraToraTora]

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-40159261
A century of Labour but heavily pro brexit, interesting one.

[emmie]

only a short time now and you will know...

[mikey4444]

TTT...it looks unassailable under normal circumstances, although I suppose now isn't terribly normal.

EC has it as 84% for Labour ::

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.py?postcode=NP4+0xb

[mikey4444]

This EC page makes for interesting viewing ::::

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/area_wales.html

Labour to win 27 out of 40 Welsh seats.

[mikey4444]

Murdo...yes, that is my constituency.

The main reason that it went Tory in 2015, was the huge rise in UKIP votes, a large amount coming from previous Labour voters. But it looks more promising now :::

http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/cgi-bin/seatdetails.py?seat=Gower

[agchristie]

They certainly could but I don't think so.

Not an insuperable majority to overcome but a challenging target nonetheless.

[youngmafbog]

I doubt it, useless May flunked the campaign. She is a total disgrace to the party.

[naomi24]

youngmafbog, unnecessarily brutal. I don't think she's a disgrace at all.

[mikey4444]

YMB....these last few weeks haven't been May's finest hour, by any means. Her continual attempts to bring back the Nasty Party has back-fired on her.

She will win on Thursday....of that I have no doubt, but her own reputation is now shot full of holes.

[youngmafbog]

Sorry Naomi but as I'm sure you know by now I speak my mind. May has been a tremendous disappointment to me and she needs to know it.

I have also written a letter to my (Tory) MP which I will send after the election as I doubt much notice will be taken prior.

[mikey4444]

Apparently not !

labour.....22,134
Tories......11,894
PC............2,059
UKIP........1,490
Libs..........852

The reports of a possibl Tory sweep to Victory in Wales was widely exaggerated.