Labour Leaps Ahead .

[gulliver1]

Labour extend Poll lead as Cons lose public trust.
This latest poll by Opinium puts Labour at 44% an increase of 2 points
And the Cons dropped 2 points down to 26%
20% of people who voted for the Cons in 2019 now intend to vote Labour.
Blues on the run then!

[gulliver1]

10.30 LABOUR .

[andres]

Who is asked to vote in these polls. I have been through every election since the fifties and never been asked once.

[royfromaus]

https://www.theanswerbank.co.uk/ChatterBank/Question1834714.html

[Old_Geezer]

Protest vote eh ? Folk can afford that at this point.

[Gromit]

The SNP party has imploded but the reason for voting for them has not gone away. Which is why I believe that their share of the vote will not diminish as much as some people think. Yes they will lose some MPs and councillors, but they will still be the biggest party in Scotland, and send more Scottish MPs to Westminster than the other parties.

Local Elections before a General Election do tell us something. They tell us how unpopular the party in Government is. The party in Government usually do badly toward the end of their term, the question is, how badly? So yes, the Conservatives can lose these Local Elections, and still go on to win the General Election if they don’t lose too badly on Thursday.

[ToraToraTora]

gromit: "The party in Government usually do badly toward the end of their term, the question is, how badly? So yes, the Conservatives can lose these Local Elections, and still go on to win the General Election if they don’t lose too badly on Thursday. " - oh dear gully!

[Gromit]

So TTT, what is your definition of what is a bad result?
I suspect you won’t put a number on it before Friday morning.

[ynnafymmi]

@10.44. Thanks for that,gulliver.Now we can stop fighting against each other and start fighting against the nationalist Tories down in Westminster and start fighting against the nationalist SNP up here in Holyrood.Sorted.

[gulliver1]

18.03 Not even TTT has the backbone for that one.

[david small]

Forget the disgraceful Con, Lab, shysters. Time for a new beginning. There are other options.

[gulliver1]

18.13 My pleasure. Ynnafymmi.

[ToraToraTora]

gromit: "So TTT, what is your definition of what is a bad result?
I suspect you won’t put a number on it before Friday morning. " - just seen this, we have 3365, I'd say if lose more than 1000 councillors that would be expected, 1200 bad, 800 good. Mid term council elections are traditionally used to bash the incumbent government so the danger here is really to Labour who will be judged poorly if they do not deliver a big enough win.

[ynnafymmi]

@18.28.Sorted.

[Deskdiary]

The trouble is Gulliver is so naive on politics that what he calls an “old chestnut” is true.

He thinks local elections are a barometer for a GE, when history has repeatedly proven that that not to be true.

The Tories will take a trouncing in the local elections, but to think that means it will be reflected in a GE is naive beyond belief.

[William51]

Yes, the blue political cycle has turned, Labour will be back next GE.

[gulliver1]

William51 @ 09.59. Best Answer.