Saturday Punt 05/01/2019

[Togo]

Lovely morning up here, bit cold but we can stand that. Racing is a bit of a mixed bag with small fields in most of the races. Done a bit of track hopping looking for E/W value. The best race may be the veteran chase at Sandown and although I have put a runner in my combi bet, I will be having a saver on Henllan Harri. Welsh connections and all that. * denotes reduced odds extra place.

Fire Ahead @17/2 12.30 Wincanton*
Dunly @10/1 12.55 Newcastle
Tedham @3/1 2.40Wincanton*
Houblon Des Obeaux @12/1 3.00 Sandown*

£1.00 E/W Acca. 4 X 15p E/W Trebles. 5 X 15p E/W Doubles. £5.00 Stake. Saver in the 3.00 and may cover if it goes pear shaped.

[Ken4155]

Morning, Togo, and good luck. As you say, value bets hard to locate with just the Wincanton meeting providing races of volume. I quite fancy my 3.00 pick given the horse's record here with 3 wins from 5 over CD. So much so that i've had a bit of a punt on it e.w.

12.30 Win; Midnight Midge @ 6/1
1.05 Win; Braventara @ 9/2
2.40 Win; Earlofthecotswolds @ 12/1
3.00 San; Rathlin Rose @ 8/1

Shorter prices taken for the e.w. component of the bet. Win singles, 20p lucky 15, £1 e.w. acca. 4 placed = £52, 4 winners = £4,940.

[Togo]

Bit of my mojo back..:)) Very nice 65/1 double. Well covered after the first two bombed out. Like the look of that Tedham…...his size suggests a career over fences in due course. One to watch.

[Ken4155]

Well done, Togo. The only thing i got right all day was an anytime score/win double with Arnautovic/WHU win and Kee/Accrington win. Just about put me in pocket for the day. Think i'm giving too much precedence to previous CD winners in some of these big field handicaps?

[Togo]

I know what you say Ken. I look for CD previous but honestly give it more credence in flat racing. Aintree always gets my attention as does Cheltenham of course. This time of year I look for stables "in form" and Venetia Williams has been going well, plus I used to follow "Houblon" all the way. He looked better than ever today. Shovelled £2.00 E/W on the last two and put a ton back into my bank account. Try to build on that, and have funds for a free festival now.