Quizzes & Puzzles3 mins ago
Anti-Vaxxer Rally…Creepy?
When anti-vaxxer rallies begin to look like
The Nuremberg Rally, should we be concerned:
https:/
If not, why not?
The Nuremberg Rally, should we be concerned:
https:/
If not, why not?
Answers
// According to the Gov. (MHRA) 1,500 people have died shortly after an adverse reaction to the Covid vaccine since Nov2020 in this country . // This is at best highly misleading. https://
20:13 Sun 25th Jul 2021
"Jim, it's more about the vaccine, than covid. You are posting as if people will definitely get one or the other- and should just work out the risks."
This is true, I'm excluding the third option of never catching Covid at all, but I don't think this is all that unreasonable. Covid has proven to be extremely effective at spreading quickly and widely -- without the vaccine, or other extreme controls, the probability that any given catches it at some point is very high, although by no means a certainty.
So in that sense, the probability of not catching Covid at all, given that you never had the vaccine, is likely to be low. On those grounds, the argument presented before still holds.
This is true, I'm excluding the third option of never catching Covid at all, but I don't think this is all that unreasonable. Covid has proven to be extremely effective at spreading quickly and widely -- without the vaccine, or other extreme controls, the probability that any given catches it at some point is very high, although by no means a certainty.
So in that sense, the probability of not catching Covid at all, given that you never had the vaccine, is likely to be low. On those grounds, the argument presented before still holds.
The thing about the third option is that it's very difficult to estimate, but the chances of not catching Covid at all are certainly much reduced given that most countries with vaccination programs have relaxed restrictions. Based on the assumption that 0.5% of Covid cases end in fatality, we can assume that around half of the UK has had Covid at one point or another, although it should be stressed that this is only a ballpark figure.
Where the data *is* available is on the risks due to vaccines (extremely low) and due to Covid (low, but significantly higher). There are times, and this is one of them, when paying too much heed to the inevitable uncertainty only serves to muddy the waters. There's nothing misleading, then, in saying that the far lesser risk, and far greater benefit, is in being vaccinated. It helps yourself, it helps others around you, and it's the country's -- and the world's -- way out of this mess.
Where the data *is* available is on the risks due to vaccines (extremely low) and due to Covid (low, but significantly higher). There are times, and this is one of them, when paying too much heed to the inevitable uncertainty only serves to muddy the waters. There's nothing misleading, then, in saying that the far lesser risk, and far greater benefit, is in being vaccinated. It helps yourself, it helps others around you, and it's the country's -- and the world's -- way out of this mess.
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