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New Polls, For Sqad And Others !

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mikey4444 | 07:39 Wed 09th Jul 2014 | News
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Sorry I am a bit late with these but I have been waiting for the Electoral Calculus site to be updated ::

http://electoralcalculus.co.uk/homepage.html

According to this reliable site, the Labour lead has grown from 28 on June 1st, to 48 on June 29th.

http://yougov.co.uk/news/categories/politics/

YouGov continues to show the Labour lead waxing and waning but the current 7 point lead is the highest its been for ages. Please also note that support for UKIP is slipping, which is to be expected I suppose as they haven't been much in the news of late.

Usual caveats apply to these Polls of course but it interesting to see that none show the Tories in the lead. If dave is going to have any chance of winning next May, he really must start getting ahead and staying ahead soon.
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Perhaps Labour lead is maintained by people hoping,as I do, that if (hopefully Ed Milliband is forced out) Alan Johnson becomes leader.
\\\\ If dave is going to have any chance of winning next May, he really must start getting ahead and staying ahead soon.\\\\

Correct.
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I am a great fan of Johnson grumpy and I am shortly to read his biography, This Boy. I think he would make a very good Labour leader. He was an official of my Union when I was a Telephone Engineer and he engendered a lot of respect and support then. But he has consistently said that he has no ambitions for higher office, which is sad. Lets hope he changes his mind in the future.
Please also note that support for UKIP is slipping, which is to be expected I suppose as they haven't been much in the news of late.
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Whilst Labour have been emblazoned across the front page of tabloids and broadsheets alike for weeks on end of late.............

Keep taking the medicine mikey.
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Morning Sqad. Very warm here already, so I will be plastering on the Factor 50 when the Yorkshire Wolfhound and I go for our walkies up in mid Wales today. Here in Wales, we like to grab every fine and dry day as if it was going to be our last !

As I have said, Labour fortunes are still variable but dave just can't seem to get ahead. At all. Even a little bit. The Electoral Calculus site is the most accurate out of all the Polling companies, and for Labour have a 48 seat lead at this stage in the proceedings must be worrying the Big Wigs in Smith Square. Its also worth pointing out that UKIP are still not predicted to win any seats, so votes would appear to be leeching away from dave to Farage enough to let in Labour candidates in Tory marginal seats. As I have said on many occasions, it would appear to a case of vote Tory, get a Labour MP !
As ever, your fixation over UKIP is taking hold of your every post on such matters.
Just accept they spanked everyone last time out whilst Labour in real terms made no specific gains and for a party in opposition performed woefully and move on.

What do you make of this poll then mikey?:

http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2014/06/19/ed-miliband-less-popular-david_n_5510136.html

You seem to have conveniently missed that one out! LOL
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Chili....shooting the messenger again, instead of taking notice of the message ! I hope you don't work on the Tories Campaign Team !

Polling organisations are highly accurate these days, and Electoral Calculus is better than most. The two Eds are continually pilloried in the press and yet dave still cannot get ahead in any of these Polls. Not even a little bit.

I think I know the answer. It would seem to me that people don't trust politicians very much at the best of times but they seem to distrust the Tories more than they do Labour.

That is my reading of the runes. But why do you think that the Tories can't make any headway on Labours lead in these Polls ?
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Chili...our last two posts crossed !

I have looked at your link and its almost certainly true that Ed isn't as popular as his brother. So given that, why are Labour ahead in the Polls. Sorry... same question but an important one I think.
Morning mikey....just back from have some routine blood tests at the GP Polyclinic (7.am).....not as efficient as the NHS UK.....;-) ...there again what is?

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/8891#comments

take you pick of that lot.......big problem for Labour, but not insurmountable, Milliband is behind Dave in the Popularity Polls and Labour is behind the Tories on the trust with the Economy........and i do not think that any Government has won an election with these facts (could be wrong mickey)

My impression is that the Electorate do not want a Labour government and nott too keen on the Tories either.
UKIP.........will not be a significant feature in the forthcoming General Election........in my opinion.

Alan Johnson?...a good choice of leader......although one gets the impression that something has or is, going on in his private life.
I have looked at your link and its almost certainly true that Ed isn't as popular as his brother. So given that, why are Labour ahead in the Polls.
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As ever though, wasn't borne out in the results, was it?
mikey4444

/// Chili....shooting the messenger again, instead of taking notice of the message ! I hope you don't work on the Tories Campaign Team ! ///

I bet that messenger is about dead on his feet by now, running back and forwards, give him and the rest of us a rest until after the election, you can then either celebrate or leave the country.
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Sqad...hope everything is OK with your health. They do say that a painters house is the worst don't they !

I look at YouGov every day, for sake of consistency, and I have seen evidence that the general public rate dave higher than Ed and that they trust the economy more under the Tories. But the headline Poll still remains the same.....dave shows no sign of getting ahead of Labour ! The UK Polling Report has consistently given a prediction of a Labour overall majority next May. It seems despite their misgivings in certain areas, the public still want dave out. But your point about the economy and its effect on the future certainly must be giving concern to Labour.

I'm glad there is at least one other person on here that correctly assesses UKIPs chances in 2015 ! A protest party...nothing more.
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What results chili ? The Polls didn't give Labour much chance of winning in 2010, so I am at a loss to understand what point you are trying to make here.

Once again...I continue to ask the same question. If Labour are doing so badly, why is the evidence to the contrary in all these Polls ? Why do the Polls not show that dave is ahead instead ?
sqad // Morning mikey....just back from have some routine blood tests at the GP Polyclinic (7.am).....not as efficient as the NHS UK.....;-) ...there again what is? //

Not quite sqad-baby. My onco clinic was double booked ( two lots into one, er twice as efficient ) and the phlebos refused to bleed half - because they hadnt been told ( I told them, which they didnt like ) - on the grounds of - yes patient safety.....
I look at YouGov every day


Mikey, you really do need a new hobby.
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Why Roy.........Politics is an interest of mine, and I am not hurting anybody am I ?
no mikey, you are not. continue posting as you wish :)
so I assume you will be happy to lay me 100-1 for the Tories then Mikey? No? not so certain are we?
Carry on Mikey, I'm political too, it's interesting. If people aren't interested in the one thing that will definitely affect them then they should be :)
.....remember Kinnochio 1992?

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